Next game · Week 5
Cleveland, Sunday 1:00 PM ET
The Sunday briefing Unit comparisons · Week 5
The matchup, in numbers.
With a win: 2–3With a loss: 1–4Regular-season record after this fixture.
Jets passing offense
- NYJ offense
- +0.140EPA per dropback136 plays · 4 completed games
- CLE defense
- +0.045EPA allowed per dropback159 plays · 4 completed games
Jets rushing offense
- NYJ offense
- -0.170EPA per rush (no scrambles)88 plays · 4 completed games
- CLE defense
- -0.023EPA allowed per rush (no scrambles)93 plays · 4 completed games
Cleveland passing offense
- CLE offense
- +0.139EPA per dropback140 plays · 4 completed games
- NYJ defense
- +0.076EPA allowed per dropback143 plays · 4 completed games
Current-season regular-season plays · highest included week: Week 5 · through Oct 8, 2026. Higher offensive EPA and lower defensive EPA allowed indicate better recorded efficiency. Each unit faced its own opponents; these rates do not predict this game’s result. EPA, sample rules & sources
See every unit numberHide the unit numbers
Up next · Week 5
Know the
matchup.
Jets vs CLE
Oct 11, 2026, 12:00 PM CDT
The Jets have gotten more per play from dropbacks so far: +0.140 EPA across 136 dropbacks, versus -0.170 across 88 non-dropback rush plays.
What the numbers meanTwo sides of Sunday. Higher offensive rates are better; lower defensive rates allowed are better. These describe recorded performance, not the next result.
When the Jets have the ballJets offense vs CLE defense
Jets: 4 analyzed games · CLE: 4 analyzed games
| Metric | JetsOffense · produced | CLEDefense · allowed |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / play | +0.018224 plays#12 of 32 offenses | +0.020252 plays#18 of 32 defenses |
| Success rate | 43.8%224 playsOffensive success#16 of 32 offenses | 44.4%252 playsDefensive success allowed#20 of 32 defenses |
| Dropback EPA / play | +0.140136 dropbacks#12 of 32 offenses | +0.045159 dropbacks#14 of 32 defenses |
| Non-dropback rush EPA / play | -0.17088 rush plays#25 of 32 offenses | -0.02393 rush plays#23 of 32 defenses |
When CLE has the ballCLE offense vs Jets defense
CLE: 4 analyzed games · Jets: 4 analyzed games
| Metric | CLEOffense · produced | JetsDefense · allowed |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / play | -0.022223 plays#16 of 32 offenses | 0.000247 plays#15 of 32 defenses |
| Success rate | 43.0%223 playsOffensive success#17 of 32 offenses | 49.4%247 playsDefensive success allowed#30 of 32 defenses |
| Dropback EPA / play | +0.139140 dropbacks#13 of 32 offenses | +0.076143 dropbacks#20 of 32 defenses |
| Non-dropback rush EPA / play | -0.29583 rush plays#31 of 32 offenses | -0.105104 rush plays#12 of 32 defenses |
Success is a play with EPA above zero. Dropbacks include sacks and quarterback scrambles. Non-dropback rush plays exclude scrambles, kneels and spikes; source-classified aborted runs can remain.
2026 regular season · highest included week: Week 5 · latest included game: Oct 8, 2026. 32 teams with analyzed games. Rates pool the included plays across each team’s analyzed games. All game situations are included; rates are not opponent-adjusted. Early-season samples can change quickly. Ranks use unrounded rates among teams with a usable sample for that metric.
Your game-day record
Record your prediction.
Save a score prediction before kickoff, then compare it with the confirmed final.
Week 5 · Jets vs CLE ·
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AFC East
Third in the AFC East, 2 games behind Buffalo.
AFC East
Regular season · confirmed finals as of the results check| Team | Record | Division | PF | PA | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | 3–1 | 0–1 | 127 | 107 | +20 |
| Patriots | 2–2 | 1–0 | 65 | 77 | -12 |
| Jets | 1–3 | 0–0 | 76 | 84 | -8 |
| Dolphins | 0–4 | 0–0 | 46 | 101 | -55 |
Ordered by win percentage, then division record, then point differential; the NFL’s full tiebreaking procedure is not applied. Source: the nflverse schedule record.
2026 season
1–3 after 4 games.
-8 overall · 76 points scored / 84 allowed across 4 confirmed finals
See the full 2026 scheduleHide the 2026 schedule 17 games
- W1at TENW 23–10Report
- W2vs GBL 17–20Report
- W3at DETL 24–31Report
- W4at CHIL 12–23Report
- W5vs CLEOct 11, 2026, 12:00 PM CDT
- W6at NEOct 18, 2026, 12:00 PM CDT
- W7vs MIAOct 25, 2026, 12:00 PM CDT
- W8vs LVNov 1, 2026, 12:00 PM CST
- W9at KCNov 8, 2026, 12:00 PM CST
- W10vs BUFNov 15, 2026, 12:00 PM CST
- W11at LACNov 22, 2026, 3:05 PM CST
- W12at MIANov 29, 2026, 12:00 PM CST
- W14vs DENDec 13, 2026, 12:00 PM CST
- W15at ARIDec 20, 2026, 3:05 PM CST
- W16vs NEDec 27, 2026, 12:00 PM CST
- W17vs MINJan 3, 2027, 12:00 PM CST
- W18at BUFJan 10, 2027, 12:00 PM CST
The league measuring stick
Where the Jets sit.
Put the Jets’ offense and defense beside the rest of the league.
Comparing NYJ with CLE.
- NYJ
- CLE
- League average
- Analyzed teams
- Zero EPA
Offense EPA / play
Higher is better →
- NYJ
- +0.018#12 of 32224 plays · 4 analyzed games
- CLE
- -0.022#16 of 32223 plays · 4 analyzed games
- League average
- +0.014Weighted by plays7,907 plays · 32 teams
Defense EPA allowed / play
← Lower allowed EPA is better
- NYJ
- 0.000#15 of 32247 plays · 4 analyzed games
- CLE
- +0.020#18 of 32252 plays · 4 analyzed games
- League average
- +0.014Weighted by plays7,907 plays · 32 teams
Both plots use the same EPA scale. The numbers below each plot give the values, ranks and included-play counts.
Read the full league tablesClose the full league tables
| Rank | Team | EPA / play | Included sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SF | +0.291 | 222 plays4 analyzed games |
| 2 | BUF | +0.200 | 233 plays4 analyzed games |
| 3 | BAL | +0.186 | 232 plays4 analyzed games |
| 4 | JAX | +0.183 | 219 plays4 analyzed games |
| 5 | KC | +0.176 | 248 plays4 analyzed games |
| 6 | DET | +0.144 | 265 plays4 analyzed games |
| 7 | DAL | +0.128 | 305 plays5 analyzed games |
| 8 | CAR | +0.119 | 264 plays4 analyzed games |
| 9 | CHI | +0.107 | 292 plays4 analyzed games |
| 10 | CIN | +0.055 | 247 plays4 analyzed games |
| 11 | LA | +0.026 | 268 plays4 analyzed games |
| 12 | NYJ | +0.018 | 224 plays4 analyzed games |
| 13 | SEA | +0.018 | 234 plays4 analyzed games |
| 14 | LV | +0.012 | 257 plays4 analyzed games |
| 15 | NO | -0.010 | 289 plays4 analyzed games |
| 16 | CLE | -0.022 | 223 plays4 analyzed games |
| 17 | HOU | -0.026 | 250 plays4 analyzed games |
| 18 | ATL | -0.028 | 242 plays4 analyzed games |
| 19 | ARI | -0.029 | 259 plays4 analyzed games |
| 20 | DEN | -0.030 | 226 plays4 analyzed games |
| 21 | WAS | -0.041 | 258 plays4 analyzed games |
| 22 | NYG | -0.048 | 238 plays4 analyzed games |
| 23 | NE | -0.054 | 249 plays4 analyzed games |
| 24 | IND | -0.066 | 251 plays4 analyzed games |
| 25 | TB | -0.088 | 301 plays5 analyzed games |
| 26 | GB | -0.091 | 232 plays4 analyzed games |
| 27 | TEN | -0.091 | 215 plays4 analyzed games |
| 28 | MIN | -0.103 | 233 plays4 analyzed games |
| 29 | PIT | -0.107 | 248 plays4 analyzed games |
| 30 | PHI | -0.107 | 228 plays4 analyzed games |
| 31 | MIA | -0.141 | 210 plays4 analyzed games |
| 32 | LAC | -0.159 | 245 plays4 analyzed games |
| Rank | Team | EPA / play | Included sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIN | -0.184 | 237 plays4 analyzed games |
| 2 | SEA | -0.137 | 245 plays4 analyzed games |
| 3 | LA | -0.132 | 237 plays4 analyzed games |
| 4 | LV | -0.100 | 241 plays4 analyzed games |
| 5 | CHI | -0.059 | 192 plays4 analyzed games |
| 6 | JAX | -0.059 | 236 plays4 analyzed games |
| 7 | ATL | -0.057 | 252 plays4 analyzed games |
| 8 | KC | -0.054 | 251 plays4 analyzed games |
| 9 | TB | -0.054 | 277 plays5 analyzed games |
| 10 | BAL | -0.029 | 245 plays4 analyzed games |
| 11 | CIN | -0.025 | 235 plays4 analyzed games |
| 12 | LAC | -0.007 | 244 plays4 analyzed games |
| 13 | NE | -0.003 | 227 plays4 analyzed games |
| 14 | PIT | -0.001 | 224 plays4 analyzed games |
| 15 | NYJ | 0.000 | 247 plays4 analyzed games |
| 16 | SF | +0.013 | 256 plays4 analyzed games |
| 17 | NYG | +0.016 | 228 plays4 analyzed games |
| 18 | CLE | +0.020 | 252 plays4 analyzed games |
| 19 | CAR | +0.024 | 266 plays4 analyzed games |
| 20 | WAS | +0.032 | 233 plays4 analyzed games |
| 21 | GB | +0.033 | 254 plays4 analyzed games |
| 22 | HOU | +0.039 | 253 plays4 analyzed games |
| 23 | DEN | +0.063 | 261 plays4 analyzed games |
| 24 | TEN | +0.065 | 248 plays4 analyzed games |
| 25 | ARI | +0.067 | 228 plays4 analyzed games |
| 26 | IND | +0.069 | 250 plays4 analyzed games |
| 27 | PHI | +0.075 | 261 plays4 analyzed games |
| 28 | MIA | +0.099 | 229 plays4 analyzed games |
| 29 | BUF | +0.102 | 270 plays4 analyzed games |
| 30 | NO | +0.155 | 243 plays4 analyzed games |
| 31 | DET | +0.188 | 282 plays4 analyzed games |
| 32 | DAL | +0.193 | 303 plays5 analyzed games |
2026 regular season · 65 analyzed league finals · highest included week: 5 · Oct 8, 2026. All situations included; not opponent adjusted. The league average weights every included play equally. Tied values share a rank. How EPA and the sample work
ajetsfan
Everything else.
Results checked Oct 9, 2026, 2:22 AM ET.